After a Thanksgiving trifecta of games to kick off Week 13, we are treated to a Black Friday matchup between the Chicago Bears and Philadelphia Eagles.
The Bears have won four straight and eight of nine and lead a tightly packed NFC North. The Eagles still hold a comfortable lead in the AFC East, but they are coming off a loss to the division rival Dallas Cowboys.
The Eagles are favored by a touchdown Friday. What will we see from a matchup of division leaders?
Matt Bowen, Eric Karabell and Eric Moody offer their picks, prop plays and analysis to help you bet the game.
Note: Odds at time of publication. For the latest updates, visit ESPN BET.
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Game picks | Prop bets | Betting trends
Game picks
Player props, bets
Jalen Hurts to record 3+ TD (+2500)
Karabell: Philadelphia's offense is a dysfunctional mess with many options to blame, but Hurts keeps delivering touchdowns. He rushed for a pair of touchdowns in Week 12, and we should expect some combination of at least two touchdowns as well against a Bears defense that permits plenty of stuff to quarterbacks.
Hurts to record 275+ total passing + rushing yards (+175)
Moody: Hurts has cleared this line in four of his past seven games and draws a favorable matchup against a Bears defense that has allowed the sixth-most total yards per game. Chicago's defensive front ranks near the bottom of the league in both run stop win rate and pass rush win rate, which sets up well for a dual-threat quarterback like Hurts, who also has one of the league's top receiver tandems in A.J. Brown and DeVonta Smith.
Saquon Barkley rushing yards OVER 77.5 (-115)
Bowen: This feels like the game where Barkley plays a difference-making role. The Bears are beat up at the linebacker spot, and this unit gave up 160 combined rushing yards to Jaylen Warren and Kenneth Gainwell in Week 12. Barkley creates some explosive plays on the ground, and the over hits on Friday.
Betting trends
Courtesy of ESPN Research
Philadelphia is 5-1 against the spread facing teams with a winning record.
The Eagles are 4-1 ATS in their past five.
Chicago is 5-1 to the over in road games.
The Bears are 5-1 ATS in their past five as an underdog.
